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CADJPY Elliott wave trade setup: a triangle pattern?
17/02/2017
CADJPY Elliott wave trade setup: a triangle pattern?

CADJPY completed a triangle pattern as part of a bearish correction which could last for few weeks. What story does a triangle pattern tell on a price chart?. With the following CADJPY Elliott wave trade setup, we identify a triangle and a very likely bearish drive.

17 February, AtoZForex – The triangle pattern is one of the corrective patterns identified on a price chart. The Elliott wave triangle sub-divides into 5 sub-waves that are all corrective. It is also noted that triangles precede the last leg of an impulse wave or corrective wave (of any degree) before trend  correction/reversal or continuation. Triangles are also continuation patterns  most often. With the charts below and based on CADJPY Elliott wave trade setup, we identified a contracting triangle pattern.

The chart below shows the weekly Elliott wave analytical chart of CADJPY

CADJPY Elliott wave trade setup

Weekly CADJPY Elliott wave analysis (click to zoom)

Price has been moving sideways since 2007. Price has been moving in series of zigzags. The last one, which was a double zigzag ended late last year with an ending diagonal. The breakout move is projected to be a zigzag as well.

The chart below shows how powerfully price broke out. The breakout completed an impulse wave upside labelled wave a. Wave b is expected to be a corrective wave and to end around 81.85-80.5.

CADJPY Elliott wave trade setup

Daily CADJPY Elliott wave analysis (click to zoom)

What corrective pattern is emerging for wave b? It looks like a triangle in the second leg of a double zigzag zigzag pattern on a lower time frame. The chart below shows the triangle pattern more clearly.

CADJPY Elliott wave trade setup : triangle pattern?

CADJPY Elliott wave trade setup

Hourly CADJPY Elliott wave analysis (click to zoom)

The correction expected downside is a double zigzag if completed as forecast. Double zigzag patterns are labelled w-x-y. w is a 5,3,5 zigzag pattern, x is any corrective pattern (zigzag, flat or triangle) and y is a zigzag. The chart above shows price completing a triangle-X after a zigzag-W. What next?. Price will continue downside to complete the double zigzag pattern. This is a classic setup that can give 1:4 or more in R/R. The setup is invalid above 87.77 and found on the H4 chart.

Do you have other views in contrast to the ones listed or you want to compliment them further? let’s know by your comment below.

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